The Gold Trader

The Gold Trader

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The Gold Trader
The Gold Trader
Gold’s Correction: Buying Opportunity or Trap? [Weekly XAU/USD Analysis + Forecast + Trading Playbook]
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Gold’s Correction: Buying Opportunity or Trap? [Weekly XAU/USD Analysis + Forecast + Trading Playbook]

May 18, 2025
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The Gold Trader
The Gold Trader
Gold’s Correction: Buying Opportunity or Trap? [Weekly XAU/USD Analysis + Forecast + Trading Playbook]
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Hello, fellow traders!

Gold just had its roughest week since November, lagging behind most major assets out there. The culprit? A surprise 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China that sparked a wave of optimism—pulling money away from safe havens and into riskier bets.

While the short-term move reflects sentiment-driven de-risking, Gold’s broader uptrend isn’t broken yet → bullion remains up over 20% YTD.

Let’s break down how you can turn this volatility into opportunity.


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📊 Let’s look at the technical data

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Generated by TradingView - get it now at 60% off!
Generated by TradingView - get it now at 60% off!
Generated by TradingView - get it now at 60% off!
  • 📅 Current Price: 3,204.45

Long-term bias: 🔴 bearish (but bullish structure still holds)

  • Gold remains in a corrective pullback. Short-term bearish momentum; mid-term neutral; long-term bullish structure intact (price above major EMAs).

  • Gold Spotter (leads 3–5 days):

    • Pegged Line: 64 (bullish bias building)

    • Exotics Line: 37

    • Spread widening → early bullish divergence emerging. Historically, signals upside potential, but needs price confirmation.

  • RSI: below midline (weak momentum), not yet oversold → room for more downside.

  • OBV (On-Balance Volume): stable, indicating no panic selling yet.

  • 🚩 Critical levels for further direction:

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