Every Monday, I drop a weekly rundown of key financial events and data releases that matter for the Gold market. These are the big moves and trends you need to watch to stay ahead in the XAU/USD game.
The calendar structure:
Date
Country → Event
What the event is about
📰 Previous readings, forecasts etc.
🚨 Why it matters
🔴 Negative impact on Gold
🟢 Bullish impact on Gold
🟡 Mixed/neutral impact
MONDAY, APRIL 14
🇨🇳 China’s Balance of Trade
Measures the gap between exports and imports. A surplus means exports exceed imports, while a deficit means the opposite.
📰 Actual: 102.64B $, higher than expected | exports jumped 12.4%
🚨 Why it matters for Gold
China is the world’s largest exporter and a major player in global trade. Because China’s trade balance often reflects trade dynamics with the U.S., a large surplus or deficit can affect U.S.-China relations and investor sentiment. If tensions rise due to imbalances, risk sentiment could shift, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like Gold.
📈 Strong trade surplus → solid global demand, economic resilience
→ 🔴 Risk-on sentiment → Investors shift to growth assets, reducing Gold demand.
→ 🔴 Stronger Yuan → Makes Gold more expensive in China, dampening local demand.
→ 🔴 Tighter monetary policy → Could further pressure Gold.
📉 Weakening trade balance → slowdowns in global demand or domestic growth issues
→ 🟢Risk-off sentiment → Investors may seek Gold as a safe haven.
→ 🟢 Weaker Yuan → Makes Gold cheaper for Chinese buyers.
→ 🔴 Stronger USD (if CNY weakens too much) → May offset Gold’s gains.
TUESDAY, APRIL 15
🇦🇺 Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Meeting Minutes
A detailed breakdown of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest policy discussions, offering insight into future rate decisions.
🚨 Why it matters for Gold
The RBA’s stance on inflation, growth, and rates impacts the Australian dollar (AUD) and global risk sentiment, both of which influence Gold. Australia is also a major Gold producer, so economic shifts can affect supply and demand.
📈 Hawkish tone (pro-rate hikes) → RBA is worried about inflation/ sees strong economic growth
→ 🔴 Higher rates make non-yielding assets like Gold less attractive.
→ 🟢 Stronger AUD vs. USD → Could weaken XAU/USD but also support local Gold demand.
→ 🟡 Inflation fears may drive some safe-haven demand for Gold.
📉 Dovish tone (pro-rate cuts or cautious outlook) → concerns about slowing growth or falling inflation
→ 🟢 Lower rates boost Gold’s appeal as an alternative asset.
→ 🟢 Economic slowdown fears increase safe-haven demand.
→ 🔴 Weaker AUD vs. USD → A stronger USD may lower local demand and pressure Gold prices.
🇬🇧 The UK Unemployment Rate
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