Gold Defies Logic: Why It Tumbled Despite a Weaker Dollar, and the Exact Price Zones Smart Money Is Shorting [Weekly XAU/USD Analysis + Forecast + Trading Playbook]
Hello, fellow traders!
Gold slipped 2.6% last week—an unexpected move, especially with both the US dollar weakening and Treasury yields falling.
At the same time, US macro data showed clear signs of slowing: retail sales and housing starts took a hit. But the Fed held steady, signaling no immediate rate cuts as inflation remains stubbornly high.
So why the drop? Gold’s “fear premium” unraveled. A new US-China trade deal helped calm markets, and de-escalation in the Middle East further eased geopolitical tensions—pulling capital away from safe-haven assets.
The real question now: is this just a short-term reset—or the start of something bigger?
🔥 In this week’s premium market breakdown:
Interpret hidden TA signals before they hit the headlines: Pro breakdown of charts with key price action, structure, and warning signals.
Exact price zones to act on: Get clear entries, exits, and invalidation zones, so you can trade with structure.
Trade setups that deliver: High-probability scalping and swing trade ideas with clear take-profit and stop-loss levels.
Global macro gist: Spot which headlines matter for Gold, and which are just noise and understand how real-world policy is shaping the charts.
Sentiment shifts: Decode what the biggest traders in the world are doing right now and how their moves will shape next week’s volatility.
Intermarket intelligence: See how Gold is stacking up against Bitcoin, crude oil, equities, and global yields - understand correlations, breakouts, and capital rotations.
📊 Let’s look at the technical data
📅 Current Price: 3,274.17
Long-term: 🟠 bearish to mixed
Gold remains above the 200-day EMA (~2,964) — technically keeping the long-term bull trend alive. No mass exit by institutional money yet; just measured profit-taking.
But a daily close below key triangle consolidation = strong bearish signal & opens the door for more downside near term. Critical structure is lost for now.
Gold Spotter: Both red and green lines are falling → underlying currency dynamics that fuel Gold rallies are weakening. Watch for continued pressure this week unless macro factors shift.
⚠️ Bulls must recover this zone to reassert control and spark a new leg higher →
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